Dom Trovato
Last updated:
October 21, 2026
3
minute read

Truvi’s 2026 STR Risk & Resilience Report: Which Vacation Rental Bookings Are Most Likely to Cause Damage

Truvi’s 2026 STR Risk & Resilience Report looked at more than 95,000 bookings and found about 1 in 59 led to a damage protection request. Long stays, crowded bathrooms, 5+ entertainment amenities, same-day bookings, local guests and younger guests all carried more risk.

You can see what a booking pays as soon as it comes through, but what's the risk that the guest will cause damage to your property?

Truvi released its 2026 STR Risk & Resilience Report this week, and across more than 95,000 bookings, around 1 in 59 led to a protection request for guest damage.

But some booking patterns carried way more risk than others. For example, stays of 21–30 nights were 2.4x as likely to result in an incident as the average booking:

Truvi line chart of incident risk by booking length in 2026: stays of 21 to 30 nights were 2.4x as likely as average to lead to an incident, 31+ nights 2.1x and 11 to 20 nights 1.7x, while stays of 1 to 10 nights ranged from 0.8x to 1.1x

This report caught my eye because there isn’t much data on the types of bookings that carry the highest risk of property damage. So it helps to put numbers behind things we usually have to judge by gut feel.

Here’s what else stood out:

Overcrowding can matter more than size

First, let's look at how many guests your property can accommodate.

Incident rates generally rose as the max capacity of a property went up. That makes sense, but the trend wasn’t perfectly linear:

Truvi line chart of incident risk by listing max guests: 0.2x for 1 to 2 guests, 0.6x for 3 to 4, 0.7x for 5 to 6, 1.1x for 7 to 8, 2.0x for 9 to 12 and 1.8x for 13 or more

Now look at the number of guests per bathroom:

Truvi line chart of incident risk by guests per bathroom: 0.9x at 1 to 2 guests per bathroom, rising to 1.3x at 2 to 3, 1.6x at 3 to 4 and 1.8x at 4 or more

The second chart gets at something that max capacity misses. 8 guests staying in a house with 4 bathrooms is a totally different setup than 8 guests sharing 2 bathrooms. The headcount is the same, but the wear and tear on the property isn’t.

Keep that in mind when a guest asks to bring “just one more person.” It sounds like a small favor. But it’s the small, overcrowded properties with people sleeping on couches and floors where the risk of damage gets higher.

Amenities come with tradeoffs

The amenities you advertise can also shape the trips your property attracts.

In Truvi’s data, properties advertising 5 or more group-entertainment features (ex: pool table + outdoor seating + barbecue + pool + hot tub), are 2.3x as likely to end in an incident.

Truvi line chart of incident risk by number of entertainment amenities on the listing (hot tub, pool, pool table, fire pit, BBQ, outdoor seating, sauna): 0.6x to 0.8x for 0 to 3 amenities, 1.4x for 4 and 2.3x for 5 or more

And here’s the breakdown by individual amenity:

Truvi heat map of incident risk by listing amenity: listings with a pool table had 2.52x the incident rate of listings without one, fire pit 2.22x, crib 2.01x, outdoor seating 1.91x and hot tub 1.82x, while water view (0.67x) and elevator (0.58x) came in lower

These patterns don't say that amenities inherently carry risk, or that they aren’t right for your property.

But most hosts just see how much additional revenue an amenity brings to the property… they don't always understand what kind of bookings that amenity attracts, and include the upkeep and potential damage costs that come along with the extra revenue.

Timing, distance, and age

Beyond the property itself, Truvi found differences based on when guests booked, how far they traveled, and the primary guest’s age.

Same-day bookings had higher incident rates than bookings made further ahead:

Truvi line chart of incident risk by booking lead time: same-day bookings 1.6x, 1 to 2 days 1.2x, 3 to 10 days 1.0x, and 0.8x to 0.9x for bookings made 11 or more days ahead

Nearby guests also had higher incident rates. The lowest-risk distance was 1,001–5,000 miles:

Truvi line chart of incident risk by guest distance from the property: 1.7x for guests within 20 miles, 1.1x for 21 to 50 miles, falling to 0.5x for 1,001 to 5,000 miles and 1.0x beyond 5,000 miles

Incident rates went down as the primary guest’s age went up:

Truvi line chart of incident risk by primary guest age: 1.7x for ages 18 to 24, 1.1x for 25 to 34, 0.9x for 35 to 44, 0.6x for 45 to 59 and 0.5x for 60 and older

Look at the whole booking

No single factor tells you how a stay will go. But if you know what bookings tend to be more risky, you can see a booking that has several red flags at the same time (like a last-minute, local booking, with extra guests).

Most hosts don’t have this kind of information on hand. Knowing these patterns can help you recognize bookings that deserve a closer look, and take precautions before guests arrive.

P.S. - It’s always a good idea to understand your protection before you need it. THR’s AirCover guide and fine print explainer are useful starting points

Data Source: Truvi’s 2026 STR Risk & Resilience Report. Booking analysis covers January 1–September 16, 2026; damage-category analysis covers April–September 2026. An “incident” means a host opened a protection request. Findings show associations, not causes.

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